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Research ArticleAdult Brain
Open Access

Defining Ischemic Core in Acute Ischemic Stroke Using CT Perfusion: A Multiparametric Bayesian-Based Model

K. Nael, E. Tadayon, D. Wheelwright, A. Metry, J.T. Fifi, S. Tuhrim, R.A. De Leacy, A.H. Doshi, H.L. Chang and J. Mocco
American Journal of Neuroradiology September 2019, 40 (9) 1491-1497; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3174/ajnr.A6170
K. Nael
aFrom the Department of Radiology (K.N., E.T., A.M., A.H.D.), Neuroimaging Advanced and Exploratory Lab
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  • ORCID record for K. Nael
E. Tadayon
aFrom the Department of Radiology (K.N., E.T., A.M., A.H.D.), Neuroimaging Advanced and Exploratory Lab
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D. Wheelwright
bDepartments of Neurology (D.W., J.F., S.T.)
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A. Metry
aFrom the Department of Radiology (K.N., E.T., A.M., A.H.D.), Neuroimaging Advanced and Exploratory Lab
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J.T. Fifi
bDepartments of Neurology (D.W., J.F., S.T.)
cNeurosurgery (J.F., R.A.D.L., J.M.)
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S. Tuhrim
bDepartments of Neurology (D.W., J.F., S.T.)
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R.A. De Leacy
cNeurosurgery (J.F., R.A.D.L., J.M.)
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A.H. Doshi
aFrom the Department of Radiology (K.N., E.T., A.M., A.H.D.), Neuroimaging Advanced and Exploratory Lab
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H.L. Chang
dPopulation Health Science and Policy (H.C.), Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York.
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J. Mocco
cNeurosurgery (J.F., R.A.D.L., J.M.)
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    Fig 1.

    Multiparametric voxel-based model for infarction.

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    Fig 2.

    Stacked bar graph visualization of errors in ischemic core volume estimation compared with final infarction volume by Bayesian-logit and oSVD postprocessing. The error values are noticeably greater with oSVD (black bars) compared with Bayesian-logit (gray bars).

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    Fig 3.

    A 74-year-old woman who presented with left M1 occlusion and a baseline NIHSS score of 26. She underwent successful mechanical thrombectomy (TICI 2c). The time from CTP to recanalization was 78 minutes, and the time from CTP to MR imaging was 19 hours. The 4 CTP maps included in our final model are shown. Note that the estimated ischemic core derived from our multiparametric Bayesian-logit model provides more accurate estimation of final infarction on MR imaging in comparison with what is estimated from oSVD-CBF <30% (current clinical practice).

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    Fig 4.

    Bland-Altman plots of calculated final infarct volume and estimated ischemic core volume using the Bayesian-based logit score (A) and oSVD-rCBF <30% (B). Solid lines represent the mean differences. Dashed lines indicate 2 SDs above and below the mean differences. The limits of agreement were −25 to 27 for the Bayesian-based logit score and −61 to 52 for oSVD-CBF <30%.

Tables

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    Table 1:

    Voxel-based univariate analysis of infarction and noninfarction voxelsa

    VariableInfarctionNoninfarctionP Valueb
    TTP32.00 (1.95)24.30 (1.19)<.001
    rCBF24.78 (2.81)48.43 (6.49)<.001
    rCBV2.81 (0.46)4.09 (0.56).02
    ATD3.58 (0.18)1.49 (0.16)<.001
    MTT6.58 (0.58)5.33 (0.15).01
    rCBFdiff−25.60 (10.93)3.20 (1.20).02
    rCBVdiff−1.15 (0.52)0.06 (0.06).03
    TTPdiff8.39 (0.41)0.25 (0.17)<.001
    ATDdiff2.15 (0.17)−0.16 (0.06)<.001
    MTTdiff2.19 (0.49)−0.12 (0.06)<.001
    • Note:—rCBV indicates relative CBV.

    • ↵a The values are presented as mean (SD). The SDs reported are the Huber-White (robust) standard errors. All units are in seconds, except for rCBF and rCBV, which are unitless.

    • ↵b P values are based on a linear regression model with the presence of infarct as the independent variable and imaging parameters as the outcome.

    • View popup
    Table 2:

    Optimal threshold, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for TTP, rCBF, ATDdiff, MTTdiff, and the final model in identifying infarcted voxels

    VariableThresholdSensitivitySpecificityAccuracyAUC
    TTP28.82 seconds65.3%77.9%76.5%0.76
    rCBF22.1060.0%72.9%71.5%0.73
    ATDdiff0.87 seconds68.1%80.2%78.9%0.80
    MTTdiff1.38 seconds56.2%74.5%72.5%0.69
    Final modela0.109b74.2%80.0%79.4%0.84
    • ↵a The final model consisted of TTP, rCBF, ATDdiff, and MTTdiff as the independent variables and the presence of infarct as the outcome.

    • ↵b Equation of the final model: logit(P) = −3.9170 + 0.0601 × TTP − 0.0095 × rCBF + 0.4629 × ATDdiff + 0.0989 × MTTdiff where logit(P) = estimated log odds of infarction for a given voxel. If logit(P) is greater than the optimal threshold of 0.109, the voxel is classified as infarct.

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American Journal of Neuroradiology: 40 (9)
American Journal of Neuroradiology
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K. Nael, E. Tadayon, D. Wheelwright, A. Metry, J.T. Fifi, S. Tuhrim, R.A. De Leacy, A.H. Doshi, H.L. Chang, J. Mocco
Defining Ischemic Core in Acute Ischemic Stroke Using CT Perfusion: A Multiparametric Bayesian-Based Model
American Journal of Neuroradiology Sep 2019, 40 (9) 1491-1497; DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A6170

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Defining Ischemic Core in Acute Ischemic Stroke Using CT Perfusion: A Multiparametric Bayesian-Based Model
K. Nael, E. Tadayon, D. Wheelwright, A. Metry, J.T. Fifi, S. Tuhrim, R.A. De Leacy, A.H. Doshi, H.L. Chang, J. Mocco
American Journal of Neuroradiology Sep 2019, 40 (9) 1491-1497; DOI: 10.3174/ajnr.A6170
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